有句话叫：是福不是祸，是祸躲不过。最近美俄两颗卫星在太空狭路相逢、轰然相撞，结果当然是四分五裂，不光自己遭殃，还使太空里别的人造飞行器的生命受到潜在威胁。
职场如太空，每间公司都是一个独立的“太阳系”。大老板是恒星，主宰着整个星系的生死存亡。中层领导正如八大行星（在派系斗争中被踢出去的就是冥王星），使尽全身解数围绕恒星转动。而领导手下的职场小兵，恰似大大小小的各色卫星，无论跟了哪颗行星都是劳碌命，放不开，逃不掉。
同一个太空，却未必是同一个梦想。每颗星都有自己的轨道，而这些轨道又密切交织、彼此影响，一着不慎，满盘皆输。很多人抱着明哲保身的态度生活，即使察觉到别人有不怀好意撞过来的企图，也会尽量退让，以免陷入争端。他们安分守己的眼睛里写着一句话：“求求你，别撞我！”
可是你想，敢于给别人下绊子的人多厉害啊！敢于挑战甚至排挤别人的人多自信啊！如果他真要和你作对，你能躲得过么？
我自己算是个幸运儿，在职场上常受贵人照顾提携，从未尝过被狠狠撞晕的痛苦。但我却目睹自己的朋友TT被人设计陷害，撞得头破血流。
TT是一个单纯的女孩子，美院毕业后应聘到一家艺术设计公司，具体工作是给舞台礼服、家居织品设计花样图案。老板很苛刻，每月薪水只开一千七，除掉房租勉强只够吃饭。她偶尔会带同事来家里玩，还亲自下厨弄菜招待。那同事是她老乡且比她资深，算是个小领导，平时在公司也算对她照顾，所以她就死心塌地对人家好。
一日，该同事和男友吵架后情绪失控，正好看到她加班描花样，遂冲过来把她连人带作品劈头盖脸臭骂一通，以解心头之气。TT回到家里哭了半天。但她素来为人着想，想到同事一把年纪恋个爱发个疯也不容易，遂决定谅解对方。次日，她还是满面微笑地招呼那位同事，就当作什么也没发生过。
那同事心里却犯嘀咕了：“我这么对她，她居然没有一点记恨的表现，肯定是装的！”由于担心TT怀恨在心暗中与她作对，该同事决定先下手为强干掉TT。不久两人去外地出差，客户选中了TT设计的三幅图案，却没有挑中那同事的任何一幅。TT还好心把样稿让一部分给那同事做，没想到对方压根不念好，更坚定了干掉TT的决心。
第三天，TT被公司一个电话提前召回，等待她的是放在桌子上的辞退通知信。她流着眼泪读信，感觉自己死的不明不白。有相熟的同事不忍地告诉她，那同事给老板致电告状，称TT在外出差不好好干活，设计的图案一幅没被选中，还抽空溜出去玩。老板当场大怒，下令把TT立刻开除，其他人怎么劝也没用。
TT当下明白自己被陷害，却觉得这样的公司呆着也没什么意思了，一千七的月薪更不值得留恋，遂收拾东西走人。
当时我和TT合租一间公寓，她回家后照例向我哭诉。我气得对她大叫：“好一个现代版的‘以小人之心度君子之腹'啊！你怎么就甘心屈服？你怎么会如此软弱？”
当然，TT的结果也有一部分是她自找的。她错就错在太善良，误把恶狼当知己，还再三给恶狼献上美餐。那同事本是个嫉贤妒能、心术不正的小人，TT和她共事那么久还看不出来，反而频频献爱心。殊不知，你越对别人掏心掏肺，别人就越吃定你；你越一味软弱，别人就越会只拣软柿子捏。
对君子可以宽容，对小人则一定不可以。君子会记得你的好，小人却只会笑你傻。最可怕的就是那类深得老板信任的小人，也许资历老，也许马屁拍得好，总之老板就吃那一套。上位后的小人最难缠，惹不起就别惹，撞不起尽量别撞。
一旦这种人主动来撞你，千万不能寄望于他心慈手软，哪怕鸡蛋碰石头也好，你都要拼足勇气和他狠狠对撞，绝不能让对方气焰太嚣张。小人就是这样，你越怕他，他越欺负你。你对他狠，他反而佩服你。
即使你生性淡泊，不喜“死磕”，也勇敢一点，像TT那样，即使黯然走人，也不忘给老板写一封亲笔长信解释清白，让那个小人的真面目大白于天下，付出应有的代价。
职场如战场，勇于接受挑战的人才是真的猛士。无论你是职场新人还是老人，如果抱着“求求你，别撞我”的态度，试图委曲求全夹缝里求生存，那条缝儿只会越来越窄，直到没了你的容身之地。
注：本文仅代表作者本人观点。
作者邮箱：lxww2008@sina.com
因为我们企图获得一个较大的效果,所以在做不到的情况下,反而我们也会遭到较大的不利.
如果交战的一方决定进行战斗,他又确信对方不打算战斗,而是在追求其他目的，那么他就有很大的可能获得胜利.任何一方只有预计到对方和自己一样,也不愿意进行大规模的战斗时,决定追求其他目的才是明智的.
单纯的抵抗没有积极意图,当我们单纯抵抗时,我们的力量只能用在粉碎对方的意图上,而不能用在其他方面.
第三章 军事天才
要想不断地战胜意外事件,就必须要有两种特性:一是在这种茫茫的黑暗中仍能发出内在的微光以照亮真理的智力,二是敢于跟随这微光的勇气.
在一切由于的情况下都要坚持自己最初的看法,并且决不放弃,除非有一个明确的信念迫使我们放弃它.
第四章 战争中的危险
第五章 战争中的劳累
我们的感觉阻止我们得出我们的判断容易得出的表面公正的结论,因为我们的感觉是种更高的判断.
第六章 战争中的情报
简单地说,大部分情报是假的,而且人们的胆怯使情报的虚假性和不真实性变得更大了.
强迫自己,也就是违反自己内心的想法摆脱恐惧而面向希望.
第七章 战争中的阻力
The company says it will be split into Citi Corp and Citi Holdings.
Citi Corp is described as:
Citicorp’s Global Institutional Bank will consist of:
Citicorp’s Retail Bank will consist of:
We anticipate that Citicorp will have assets of approximately $1.1 trillion and will be approximately 65 percent deposit funded.
Citi Holdings:
Citi Holdings will be a group of non-core businesses that include attractive long-term businesses with strong market positions. However, they do not sufficiently enhance the capabilities of Citi’s core business, and in many ways compete for its resources.
The Citi Holdings management team will seek to maximize the value of these businesses by running them well, restructuring and managing them through this tough economic cycle, and taking advantage of value-enhancing disposition and combination opportunities as they emerge. These businesses and assets will initially include:
Separately, the company has announced the details of its loss-sharing plan with the government, first established in November.
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金融超市就这样被瓦解了。不知道看到这样的情况，国内的招商和光大做何感想？作为BENCHMARK的Citi Financial Supermarket就这样以失败告终，国内的走势将怎么样呢？其他的我不敢说，我也不敢说这种趋势和发展势头会停止，但起码会减速。关注。
The same morning it revealed a $20 billion capital injection and a government loss backstop, Bank of America (BAC) says it lost $1.79 billion in the quarter. Until recently, some analysts had still been predicting a profit in the quarter (ha).
The results don't include Merrill, which lost a whopping $15 billion in the quarter.
This stat highlights how rapidly things deteriorated at the end of last year: "Nonperforming assets were $18.23 billion or 1.96 percent of total loans, leases and foreclosed properties, compared with $13.58 billion, or 1.45 percent, at September 30 and $5.95 billion, or 0.68 percent, at December 31, 2007.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------All week long we've been asking why Citi and JP Morgan moved their earnings announcements up by a week. Our strong suspicion was that executives at both banks had been tipped off by government officials that some kind of new intervention into the markets was coming. But what intervention?
The hottest rumor of the day is that the government is preparing to nationalize both Citi and Bank of America. The idea is that the government could put Citi and Bank of America into a conservatorship much like it did for AIG. The idea has been floating around since at least last October but today many people think nationalization could be imminent.
Sheila Bair, who runs the FDIC and would play a key role in a government takeover, issued a kind of "non-denial" denial When asked by reporters earlier whether she anticipated nationalizing any large banks, Bair said: "I can't comment. I'd be very surprised if that happened." If there wasn't a plan in the works, would she just say that. Refusing to comment almost seems a confirmation. At least, that's how a lot of people are reading it.
If forced to give odds, we'd say that while Citi could be nationalized nothing as drastic will happen to Bank of America. It seems far more likely that Bank of America would receive something like the asset value guarantee
Citi already got from the government.
In either case, we could be headed into another bailout weekend.
新浪财经讯 北京时间1月16日凌晨消息，在本国经济增长速度减缓至六年以来最低水平及工业产值大幅下滑的形势下，土耳其央行周四决定将基准利率下调两个百分点，希望藉此避免经济陷入衰退。
土耳其央行今天发表电子邮件声明称，该行已经将隔夜拆借利率下调了两个百分点，至13%的历史最低水平，这是该行连续第三次降息。此前调查显示，根据接受调查的20名经济学家的平均预期，该行将把这一基准利率下调75个基点。
在过去三个月时间里，土耳其央行的累计降息幅度已经达到了3.75个百分点，加入了全球各大央行纷纷降息以促进经济增长的行列。据土耳其政府公布的数据显示，去年第三季度该国的经济增长速度下滑至六年以来的最低水平，11月份工业产值的跌幅则创下了七年以来的最高水平。
摩根士丹利驻伊斯坦布尔的首席经济学家阿克索依(Tevfik Aksoy)称：“土耳其央行认为需求正大幅下降，物价压力已经完全不存在。”
据土耳其政府公布的数据显示，去年12月份土耳其通胀率下降至10.1%，是八个月以来的最低水平。土耳其央行称，全球经济危机正令该国的本土和海外需求同时下降，通胀率将因此在未来几个月中进一步下滑。
利率决定公布后，土耳其里拉兑美元汇率削减此前涨幅。截至伊斯坦布尔时间19:06为止，土耳其里拉兑美元汇率从昨天的1.6255里拉下跌至1.6223里拉。
土耳其央行将在八个工作日内公布此次政策制定会议的纪要。(唐风)
谢亚龙出任中 体公司董事长，引起中体产业的持股股民一片哗然，大家普遍对股价持悲观态度。
昨天下午，从国家体育总局干部调整会议上传出消息，前足协掌门人谢亚龙调往中体产业集团股份有限公司任董事长，接替年满60岁退休的王俊生。
谢亚龙的接任者则是前足协副主席南勇。
股民得知这个消息后，普遍对该公司股票表示担心。So say David Faber's sources. The deal would start as a JV, but might eventually results in all of Smith Barney (Citi's brokerage unit) coming under Morgan Stanley (MS) ownership. The idea is that MS would buy more and more of it each year. (The Journal has since just corroborated the report)
Obviously it's sketchy now, but it's a way for Morgan Stanley to take advantage of some consolidation, while Citi raises cash. As the once-trendy cash cows of Wall Street dissipate, Morgan Stanley has talked up its traditional low-margin brokerage, and the more of this business it can get, the more stable it becomes.
From the CNBC rush transcript: THE DEAL WOULD BE STRUCTURED AS A JOINT VENTURE, BUT WOULD INVOLVE A PAYMENT FROM MORGAN STANLEY TO CITI OF AN UNDISLOSED SUM THAT WOULD GIVE IT THE LARGER STAKE IN THE JV., WHICH WOULD BE COMPRISED OF MORGAN'S BROKERAGE UNIT WITH 8 THOUSAND BROKERS AND SMITH BARNEY, WHICH HAS 11 THOUSAND BROKERS. IT WOULD CREATE THE NATION'S LARGEST SINGLE BROKERAGE, BSTING B OF A'S MERRILL UNIT WHICH HAS 16 THOUSAND BROKERS.
MORGAN STANLEY WOULD HAVE THE RIGHT OVER A PERIOD OF YEARS TO INCREASE ITS STAKE IN THE JV AND ULTIMATELY BUY ALL OF IT, ACCORDING TO SOURCES.
THE DEAL, IN EFFECT BECOMES A LONG TERM SALE OF SMITH BARNEY TO MORGAN STANLEY.
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为什么不称这个为第六次并购浪潮呢？一次因原有金融体系和信用体系崩溃，公司大范围面临流动性危机，而产生的并购浪潮。第六次第六次第六次。这就应该是第六次！
周末愉快！
This is fun. The folks over at the NASDAQ have created a new index, OMX Government Relief (^QGRI), to track firms that have been bailed out by the government. The index will track, with equal weight, companies of at least $1 billion market cap, that have come to Washington cap in hand. It's mostly TARP companies, but not necessarily all. The index, which was set at 1,000 on Monday, is already down to 941.42.
Now in true style, someone needs to come up with a triple-leveraged short ETF to track this.
We also like this suggestion from Schaeffer research that the NASDAQ should've given the index a clever ticker, like FAIL.
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指数编得要跟上时代的步伐。昨天看的中小盘股的成分好象也改了，但看看，看看，看看人家。
Journalists Admit: We Screwed Up（Clusterstock)
A survey of the nation's top financial journalists shows that many believe reporters seriously screwed up by failing to adequately warn about the financial excesses and investment bubbles that have pushed us into an economic crisis.
Sixty-two of 100 journalists surveyed by Abrams Research, the research and consulting firm started by former MSNBC chief Dan Abrams, were critical of the media’s role in the crisis. (We’d really, really like to have a long conversation with that thirty-eight percent who think the media performed just swimmingly.)
When asked who should be blamed for the crisis, the journalists split evenly between the regulators and the banks. Only a couple of them thought the media was to blame.
Our favorite response came from someone who actually had a pretty well-balanced view of how we got in this mess.
“1) Banks that sold financial products but didn't understand them, 2) rated by rating agencies that didn't understand them, 3) not regulated by regulators that didn't understand them, 4) brokered by boiierrooms too greedy and evil to care about them to 5) consumers too desperate and stupid to understand them, without the help of 6) a media too busy reporting on Lindsay Lohan's nipple slips to report on them.”
This would be the perfect answer if we just added the Fed’s low interest rates, the Clinton-Bush program to increase home-ownership, cheap construction labor to build houses Americans won’t build and politically correct mortgage modeling.
It should be noted that the journalists are now very bearish. Asked when the recession would end, 31% said early 2010, 26% said mid-2010, 22% said January 2011, and 21% said even later. The survey also asked where the DJIA would close on June 30, 2009. The average of the responses was 8639.12, or about 100 points lower than today. Since journalists screwed up so badly last time and are reliably contrary indicators, this might be a signal that we’re in for a quick recovery.
Or maybe it just means the recession will last a very, very long time. After all, only 30% of those responding think that our economic crisis will someday be called a Great Depression.
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干嘛要怪媒体？！没道理的啊，有毛病！
媒体纯粹是迎合大众的需求，有什么需求我给你报道什么。你一天到晚唱空，大泡沫经济下谁看你的东西啊。影响心情。
所以怪谁都不能怪媒体，太无辜了。
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